Automated weekly bulletin
Observed bus supply in Rio: Jun 29, 2026 to Jul 5, 2026
Bulletin based on 290 routes with sufficient data across two consecutive seven-day windows.
Summary of the week
- Routes analyzed
- 290
- More vehicles observed
- 13 4.5%
- Stability
- 62 21.4%
- Fewer vehicles observed
- 215 74.1%
The rankings compare the average number of vehicles seen from Monday to Sunday with the previous seven days. Only routes with at least five days of data are included in each window.
Weekly overview
Fewer observed vehicles were the predominant result. Of 290 routes compared, 13 (4.5%) had more observed vehicles, 62 (21.4%) remained stable, and 215 (74.1%) declined.
route SV908 averaged 2.6 more vehicles per day, moving from 8.4 to 11 (+31.0%). route 61 averaged 24.08 fewer vehicles per day, moving from 47.22 to 23.14 (-51.0%).
Among the compared groups, Internorte had the highest average change (-15.0%), while MOBI-Rio had the lowest (-28.0%).
In the 30-day context, 13 routes entered the critical range. Leading cases include route SN853 (Terminal Mato Alto - Terminal Deodoro) because of reliability score of 41/100 with low confidence; route SN397 (Terminal Campo Grande - Candelária) because of reliability score of 42/100 with low confidence; route SN624 (Mariópolis - Praça da República) because of reliability score of 45/100 with low confidence.
The historical window covered 28 of 30 days. Of 474 candidate routes, 290 entered the comparison and 184 were excluded for insufficient data. The figures represent observed vehicles and do not measure passengers, occupancy, revenue, or regulatory punctuality.
Largest decreases observed
The ranking considers the absolute difference and the number of days sampled; the percentage remains as context.
| Route and operation | Previous average (vehicles/day) | Current average (vehicles/day) | Difference | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61MOBI-Rio | 47.22 | 23.14 | -24.08 | -51.0% |
| 18MOBI-Rio | 26.78 | 12.4 | -14.38 | -53.7% |
| 11MOBI-Rio | 13.7 | 3.43 | -10.27 | -75.0% |
| 31MOBI-Rio | 19.5 | 9.2 | -10.3 | -52.8% |
| 743Transportes Barra | 7.8 | 3.71 | -4.09 | -52.4% |
| 842Auto Viação Palmares | 6.4 | 3.2 | -3.2 | -50.0% |
| 849Auto Viação Palmares | 5.2 | 2.43 | -2.77 | -53.3% |
| SN639Internorte | 5.4 | 2.71 | -2.69 | -49.7% |
| 885Auto Viação Palmares | 4.8 | 2.33 | -2.47 | -51.4% |
| 898Expresso Recreio | 3.6 | 1.8 | -1.8 | -50.0% |
Largest increases observed
An increase only indicates more vehicles detected in the weekly comparison; does not represent, in isolation, a general improvement in the service.
| Route and operation | Previous average (vehicles/day) | Current average (vehicles/day) | Difference | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV908Viação Vila Real | 8.4 | 11 | +2.6 | +30.9% |
| SV483Viação VG | 16.8 | 19.29 | +2.49 | +14.8% |
| SN696Viação Ideal | 2 | 3.43 | +1.43 | +71.4% |
| 895Expresso Recreio | 3 | 4 | +1 | +33.3% |
| 652Viação Vila Real | 3 | 3.83 | +0.83 | +27.8% |
| SN825Santa CruzReduced base | 1.4 | 1.8 | +0.4 | +28.6% |
| SN885Santa CruzReduced base | 1.4 | 1.8 | +0.4 | +28.6% |
| SN422IntersulReduced base | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 | +25.0% |
| 922Transportes ParanapuanReduced base | 1.2 | 1.57 | +0.37 | +30.9% |
| SN867Santa CruzReduced base | 1.8 | 2.17 | +0.37 | +20.4% |
Operator overview
| Group | Routes | More vehicles | Stable | Fewer vehicles | Average change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOBI-Rio | 31 | 0 | 3 | 28 | -28.0% |
| Intersul | 36 | 1 | 7 | 28 | -21.4% |
| Santa Cruz | 62 | 4 | 16 | 42 | -19.4% |
| Transcarioca | 91 | 3 | 20 | 68 | -19.3% |
| Internorte | 70 | 5 | 16 | 49 | -15.0% |
Critical routes in the 30-day context
- Route SN853 — Terminal Mato Alto - Terminal DeodoroSanta Cruzreliability score of 41/100 with low confidence; 56.0% reduction in observed supply over 30 days; estimated headway 3.3 times the declared headway.
- Route SN397 — Terminal Campo Grande - CandeláriaSanta Cruzreliability score of 42/100 with low confidence; 53.8% reduction in observed supply over 30 days; estimated headway 3.9 times the declared headway; fewer vehicles observed at peak times than off-peak.
- Route SN624 — Mariópolis - Praça da RepúblicaViação Novacapreliability score of 45/100 with low confidence; 47.7% reduction in observed supply over 30 days; estimated headway 3.2 times the declared headway; fewer vehicles observed at peak times than off-peak.
- Route 898 — Sepetiba - Campo GrandeExpresso Recreioreliability score of 45/100 with low confidence; 47.6% reduction in observed supply over 30 days; estimated headway 2.5 times the declared headway.
- Route SN554 — Piabas - Metrô BotafogoTranscariocareliability score of 47/100 with low confidence; 46.5% reduction in observed supply over 30 days; estimated headway 2.5 times the declared headway; fewer vehicles observed at peak times than off-peak.
- Route SN878 — Tanque - Barra da TijucaTranscariocareliability score of 48/100 with low confidence; 42.3% reduction in observed supply over 30 days; estimated headway 2.8 times the declared headway.
- Route SN388 — Santa Cruz - CandeláriaSanta Cruzreliability score of 50/100 with low confidence; 37.4% reduction in observed supply over 30 days; estimated headway 4.3 times the declared headway; fewer vehicles observed at peak times than off-peak.
- Route FORADEOPreliability score of 52/100 with low confidence; 64.5% reduction in observed supply over 30 days; fewer vehicles observed at peak times than off-peak.
- Route SN393 — Bangu - CandeláriaSanta Cruzreliability score of 52/100 with low confidence; 34.6% reduction in observed supply over 30 days; estimated headway 5.1 times the declared headway; fewer vehicles observed at peak times than off-peak.
- Route SN898 — Sepetiba - Campo GrandeSanta Cruzreliability score of 53/100 with low confidence; 41.3% reduction in observed supply over 30 days; estimated headway 2.3 times the declared headway; fewer vehicles observed at peak times than off-peak.
Quality and limits
History covered 28 of 30 days, until 8/2/2026. Source: Daily history in PostgreSQL. The comparison does not measure passengers, capacity, revenue or regulatory punctuality.